Crusaders vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ICT
3 - 2
CRU
21%
21%
58%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CLI
4 - 1
CRU
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
15%
18%
67%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 3
DUN
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
CLI
42%
22%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAL
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 0
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |