Crusaders vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRU
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
RBK
7 - 2
CRU
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
RBK
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
CLI
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 6
GLE
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 2
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 2
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LIS
0 - 2
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DON
1 - 4
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |