Crusaders vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CLI
1 - 2
CRU
42%
26%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 4
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
3 - 2
COL
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
DUN
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CLI
0 - 2
BAL
67%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |