Crusaders vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRU
3 - 2
CLI
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
CRU
12%
19%
69%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
CRU
14%
19%
67%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
3 - 2
CRU
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 2
BAL
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
KNO
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |