Crusaders vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 5
CRU
40%
26%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
3 - 2
COL
54%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CRU
2 - 3
GLE
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
COV
0 - 3
CRU
16%
18%
65%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
LIN
8%
15%
77%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 2
ARD
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |