Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CLI
0 - 4
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CRU
3 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
ARD
2 - 4
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
ARD
4 - 2
BAL
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARD
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ARD
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |