Crusaders vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 0
CRU
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CLI
4 - 0
CRU
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARD
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARD
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
GLE
15%
23%
62%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 1
ARD
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |