Cruces SD vs Sporting Estrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+758%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruces SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 6
SLV
26%
24%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FIS
2 - 1
CRU
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 0
DUM
6%
14%
80%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
6 - 0
CRU
91%
8%
2%
|
6 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
EST
11%
17%
71%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
AGO
53%
22%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SLV
0 - 1
EST
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
FLA
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FIS
2 - 1
EST
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
COR
18%
22%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |