Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 5-2
Crucero del Norte vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CDN
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CFE
0 - 0
CDN
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
JAN
1 - 1
CDN
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
CDN
1 - 2
SJO
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CDN
4 - 2
SPA
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CDN
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SJO
1 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
GAF
40%
27%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CDN
4 - 2
SPA
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 1
CFE
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |