Crucero del Norte vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
8º
8º
39
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 1
CDN
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 2
9DJ
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
CDN
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 3
BUC
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
CDN
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
GYT
36%
31%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
5 - 0
SAR
33%
29%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CEN
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
SAR
20%
27%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SOL
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |