Crucero del Norte vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
CDN
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 2
INS
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 0
CDN
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
CDN
2 - 2
CHI
31%
28%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
SMA
69%
21%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
ARG
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
SMA
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |