Crucero del Norte vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
CDN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
1 - 2
HUR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
CDN
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDN
1 - 0
SAR
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 4
DHA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
IRV
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PAT
0 - 2
CHI
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATT
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |