Crucero del Norte vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
10º
7º
16
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 0
CDN
34%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SOL
3 - 1
CDN
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
CDN
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 1
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
JAN
45%
29%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
9DJ
34%
30%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
IND
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
DFR
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
IND
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |