Crucero del Norte vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRO
2 - 0
CDN
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DAL
0 - 0
CDN
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 0
DHA
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
3 - 0
SMA
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GBR
4 - 0
SMA
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
GBR
53%
25%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 2
INS
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 2
GBR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
GBR
2 - 0
AND
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |