Crucero del Norte vs Gimnasia y Tiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
8º
8º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
5 - 0
CDN
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CDN
2 - 0
JAN
30%
29%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SLP
2 - 0
CDN
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GYT
1 - 0
CDN
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
GYT
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
GYT
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 1
GYT
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GYT
3 - 0
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
GYT
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |