Crucero del Norte vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
DPR
1 - 1
CDN
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CDN
0 - 0
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 1
CDN
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
CDN
2 - 1
GYT
23%
26%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
DFR
0 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DPR
3 - 2
DFR
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DFR
1 - 2
SPB
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
4 - 1
DFR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GYT
2 - 1
DFR
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |