Crucero del Norte vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FER
0 - 2
CDN
45%
30%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CDN
1 - 1
INS
28%
28%
45%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 1
DHA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
CDN
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CDN
0 - 2
IRV
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 0
DHA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
DYJ
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 3
IRV
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
4 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 5
ATT
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |