Crucero del Norte vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
CDN
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ALD
2 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CDN
1 - 3
LAN
17%
25%
59%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
4 - 0
CDN
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDN
0 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIG
61%
24%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
LAN
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 4
RIV
16%
25%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |