Crucero del Norte vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
CDN
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
HUR
2 - 2
CDN
48%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CDN
1 - 0
INS
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
3 - 1
CDN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
CDN
3 - 1
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALM
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 2
BRO
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 2
TAL
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 0
BRO
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 1
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |