Croydon Kings vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 3
ADE
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 0
ADE
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ADE
2 - 0
CRO
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 2
CAM
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
1 - 0
CRO
21%
22%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SLF
1 - 0
SAP
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CAM
4 - 1
SLF
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
SLF
2 - 1
CRO
24%
21%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SLF
3 - 1
WES
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |