Croydon Kings vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
10º
8º
38
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
17% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ADE
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
WHI
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 0
CRO
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
ADE
43%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MOD
4 - 4
ADE
37%
21%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
MOD
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAM
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 3
MOD
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 1
WHI
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |