Crotone Sub 19 vs Viterbese Castrense Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
12º
8º
31
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
CRO
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
IMC
35%
22%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PER
5 - 0
CRO
51%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 2
VIR
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 2
CCS
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Viterbese Castrense Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
USV
4 - 0
SAL
71%
16%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 0
USV
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USV
2 - 3
LAZ
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PIS
3 - 0
USV
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USV
3 - 4
ASC
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |