Crotone U19 vs Ascoli U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
12º
8º
59
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIS
1 - 2
CRO
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 4
MNP
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 1
USV
30%
22%
49%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
CRO
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
IMC
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 1
BEN
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ASC
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 0
PES
52%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MNP
1 - 2
ASC
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
ASC
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |