Cronenberger vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
3 - 3
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JDH
1 - 1
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 1
CRO
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 6
SPE
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
VEL
15%
18%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
HIL
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 1
VFB
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
1FC
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 3
VFB
7%
12%
81%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |