Cronenberger vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
BOL
3 - 5
CRO
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
VFL
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
VJG
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFB
5 - 1
CRO
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
3 - 3
CRO
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
NIE
6 - 3
TSR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
3 - 4
NIE
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NIE
2 - 1
RAT
42%
22%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SSN
2 - 1
NIE
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
TEW
3 - 2
NIE
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |