M'Saken vs Stade Sportif Sfaxien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
9º
9º
16
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
M'Saken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
JSO
4 - 0
CRO
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 0
EMM
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
CRO
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
4 - 2
KAL
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 2
MOK
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Sportif Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
STA
2 - 3
EMM
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JSO
1 - 0
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
CSH
13%
24%
63%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EGS
3 - 0
STA
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |