NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
12º
9º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NKJ
5 - 2
ZMI
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ZMI
1 - 2
DUB
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 0
ZMI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
ZMI
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 1
ZMI
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 0
NKD
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
NKR
1 - 2
VUK
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
VUK
4 - 0
NGK
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
VUK
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |