NK Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
12º
9º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
ZMI
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
0 - 0
HNS
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 0
ZMI
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZMI
0 - 1
RUD
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZMI
2 - 2
VUK
26%
27%
48%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
NKD
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
NKR
1 - 1
ORI
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 3
HNK
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 0
BIJ
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 2
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |