NK Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
11º
8º
43
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 1
ZMI
37%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ZMI
2 - 1
RUD
18%
25%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
HDR
1 - 1
ZMI
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZMI
1 - 1
KUS
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SOL
4 - 0
ZMI
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 1
NKD
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
ORI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 0
BIJ
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NKJ
2 - 2
ORI
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 2
DUB
50%
24%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |