NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Bijelo Brdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
12º
9º
34
6º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZMI
4 - 1
NKD
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NKR
1 - 0
ZMI
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
5 - 1
HNK
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
6 - 2
ORI
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 0
ZMI
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 1
HNS
16%
25%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NKD
1 - 1
BIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 1
SOL
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NKR
2 - 0
BIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 3
VUK
24%
27%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |