Croatia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
FRO
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 5
SWE
48%
23%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
IRL
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
CRO
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
AND
0 - 3
CRO
4%
9%
88%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 1
CRO
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
FRO
93%
6%
2%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 1
POR
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
GRC
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
POR
6 - 1
BLR
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |