Croatia U21 vs Faroe Islands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
UKR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BGR
2 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 2
SYM
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |