Croatia U21 vs Netherlands U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
GER
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
ESP
27%
24%
50%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
POR
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 2
YUG
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
BEL
0 - 2
NED
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
55%
22%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
NED
5 - 1
CYP
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
4 - 1
NED
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |