Croatia U21 vs Greece U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 0
FRO
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 2
UKR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BGR
2 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 2
SYM
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GRC
4 - 1
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 1
GRC
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
GRC
0 - 2
IRL
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
GRC
3 - 0
GEO
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |