Croatia U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
11%
18%
72%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 2
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
4 - 0
CRO
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
GEO
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 2
HUN
69%
18%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ESP
6 - 0
EST
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
11%
18%
72%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
SUI
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 72 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
EST
1 - 3
AZE
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
LVA
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |