Croatia U21 vs Austria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
CRO
3 - 1
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
CRO
54%
21%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
DEN
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 4
CRO
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
CRO
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 1
AUT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
AUT
5 - 1
MNE
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 3
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
AUT
2 - 1
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |