Croatia U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 2
KSA
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 0
BLR
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 1
SVN
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 1
SVK
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 3
CRO
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NGA
5 - 0
GTM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MEX
4 - 1
NGA
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
NGA
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
NGA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |