Croacia U19 vs Portugal U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croacia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 2
HRV
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
1 - 3
ITA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LVA
1 - 2
HRV
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
HRV
2 - 2
FRO
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
PRT
3 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
PRT
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PRT
1 - 1
GRC
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GEO
0 - 3
PRT
21%
22%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
PRT
2 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |