Croatia U19 vs Georgia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 0
SRB
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 1
CRO
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 0
BIH
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
GEO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 2
GEO
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
GEO
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
BIH
2 - 4
GEO
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
GEO
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GEO
1 - 1
TUR
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |