Croatia U17 vs Denmark U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
HRV
0 - 3
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
HRV
3 - 0
AND
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ARM
0 - 3
HRV
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
HRV
1 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
HRV
1 - 1
CYP
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
DNK
1 - 0
RUS
38%
23%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
DNK
5 - 2
EST
73%
17%
11%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
GEO
1 - 3
DNK
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 0
DNK
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
IRL
1 - 0
DNK
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |