Cristo Minglanilla vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cristo Minglanilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CMG
63%
18%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CMG
3 - 2
MUN
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CMG
1 - 1
DBA
63%
19%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BON
1 - 2
CMG
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CMG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
23%
35%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAN
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
CVA
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
MUN
48%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |