Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Palencia Cristo Atlético vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia Cristo Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAB
0 - 4
CAT
30%
25%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 0
MIR
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAT
44%
25%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
1 - 1
UXA
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
AVI
4 - 1
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
URR
1 - 2
AVI
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 3
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 0
AVI
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 1
TUI
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |