Palencia Cristo Atlético vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia Cristo Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SDA
2 - 2
CAT
58%
24%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
TOR
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BEC
1 - 2
CAT
56%
23%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ACF
2 - 0
CAT
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AVI
0 - 0
ACF
16%
24%
60%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AVI
0 - 2
NUM
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AVI
0 - 1
CEB
51%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BAÑ
1 - 0
AVI
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAB
43%
26%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |