Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Palencia Cristo Atlético vs Orihuela CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Palencia Cristo Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 2
CAT
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 2
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAT
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAT
2 - 0
NUM
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
CAT
14%
21%
64%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
LEV
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 1
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
ELD
52%
23%
24%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 2
ORI
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 0
ROD
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |