Criciúma vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRI
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 1
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 1
SCI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
LIG
3 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 0
FLU
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |