Criciúma vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 1
ABC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
SPO
31%
27%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 0
CRI
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 2
POR
9%
21%
70%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
BOA
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 1
SAL
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |