Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Criciúma vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRI
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 0
NAU
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 1
CRI
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
CRZ
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 2
COR
24%
28%
47%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
GOI
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 1
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 1
CRI
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
VAS
1 - 1
PPE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |