Criciúma vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRI
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
SCI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GOI
0 - 2
CRI
65%
19%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 2
FLA
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SCI
2 - 1
PAY
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 3
COT
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |