Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-3
Criciúma vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 2
CHA
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
CRI
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
CRI
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
5 - 0
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
CRI
21%
25%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 0
FOZ
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
OPE
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
LON
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PST
2 - 2
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |