Criciúma vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRI
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 2
CRI
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 0
CAC
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
CRI
50%
27%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
59%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRU
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |